Beer Marketer's Insights
Building on sales momentum, Bai Brands is lookin’ to broaden its appeal with launch of stevia-sweetened carbonated line dubbed Bai Bubbles, even as several bev sources in recent weeks say it’s been out on street undertaking $30 mil capital raise at co valuation in $300 mil range. Moves attest to ambition of Princeton, NJ-based maker of coffee-fruit-based bevs that seems to have garnered position as pleasing, good-for-you refresher that Vitaminwater once claimed. Contacts in several parts of country say brand is showing clear momentum.
Bai Bubbles, for which co filed for trademark in Oct 2013, launches in NY in coming weeks in 11.5-oz slim cans in 7 flavors whimsically named for coffee-growing regions, such as Bolivia Black Cherry or Waikiki Coconut. Sweetener blend melds organic stevia and erythritol. If all goes well in NY, line will roll out early next year.
Line is aimed at capitalizing on consumer discontent with conventional diet CSDs, per statement from Bai founder Ben Weiss, as Sparkling Ice has done, tho taking all-natural route. But it carries some risks for brand that’s widely perceived to offer one of best-tasting stevia-sweetened noncarbs with its core Bai5 bottled line: CSDs are considerably more challenging to get right with stevia, and any taste degradation could taint consumers’ perceptions of core line. That said, other marketers, such as Honest Tea, have made similar migration from noncarb side without apparent consumer backlash.
Brand moves thru Dr Pepper Snapple distribution network, tho DPS doesn’t own piece of co and its ceo Larry Young seemed to dismiss possibility of investment on last conference call, when he decried lofty valuations being sought by unnamed allied partners, whose ranks include Vita Coco, Neuro and Body Armor. “Some of those multiples out there are ridiculous . . . we love all these young entrepreneurs, but they want to be the next Glaceau,” he said then (BBI, Jul 24). Still, new round, which co seems to be orchestrating without investment banker, appears to be drawing considerable interest, per BBI contacts on investment side of biz. With brand believed to be doing in $25-35 mil sales range, reported multiple is in 10X sales range. No comment from Ben on capital raise.
Energy drink volume increased 5.5% in convenience stores last 4 wks thru Aug 30, per Nielsen figures reported by Wells Fargo Securities’ Bonnie Herzog. That’s almost same as 5.8% gain last 12 wks but just half gain pace for segment over last 52 wks. Avg prices were up 0.3% last 4 wks, in line with category pricing over prior 12 wks. Red Bull volume rose 6.2% on slight price decrease (-0.2%) last 4 wks while Monster gained 3.6% on 0.6% price increase. Rockstar trends turned worse with 9.7% volume drop last 4 wks vs 5.2% drop last 12 wks. Rockstar volume off nearly double-digits even with avg 2.7% price decrease. As we reported last week in Nielsen all-outlet data, Coca-Cola energy brands (NOS, Full Throttle) were also up big in c-stores. KO energy volume gain accelerated to +27.5% (vs 23.8% gain for 12 wks) even with avg price increase of 3.8%. PepsiCo energy brands were also up double-digits (+16.9%) but that was with price dip of 3.5% over last 4 wks.
CSD Pricing Remains Solid CSD volume slipped 5.5% in c-stores last 4 wks, slightly better than category’s 12-wk trend, while pricing remained up solid 4%. PEP gained 1.7% on avg price increase of 3.6% while KO CSD volume slipped 5.6% on avg 4.3% price hike. Dr Pepper Snapple CSD volume (-3.3%) and price (+2.9%) trends last 4 wks were in line with its 12-wk performance in that impulse channel.
Two from One: Watch City Auction Reveals Plans for Two New Breweries; Stamford Southport Shutters
More Expansions: Hop Valley Expects 50-60K Bbls by 2015; Coupla Yr-Old Breweries Upping Cap Too
Another Asheville Facility To Open Late 2015: Wicked Weed Another brewery in Asheville, NC area plans to open a new facility around same time as New Belgium, in fall 2015. Wicked Weed Brewing announced plans to build new $5 mil 40K sq-ft brewery that could produce up to 50K bbls per yr once completed. On top of new production facility, Wicked Weed recently opened its 2nd downtown barrel house and tasting room, dubbed "Funkatorium," that'll store up to 1,000 bbls of sour, barrel aged beer. Net-net: within 5 yrs co expects to add 82+ jobs, and have total of 200+ employees. Wicked Weed currently has no plans to distribute outside NC but suggests "potential for distribution outside of the state down the road" with more capacity comin'. For now co will continue self-distributing thruout NC and "investing in high quality refrigerated trucks to transport our beer." Wicked Weed shipped 2800 bbls in 2013 according to Brewers Assn.
Saint Archer Ups Capacity +45% to 30K Bbls/Yr In SoCal, Saint Archer announced plans to up capacity 45% to approx 30K bbls/yr by this summer "with more fermentation tanks, a centrifuge, two new grain silos and a new spent grain silo." That'll "help us keep up with demand and put us in a better position for sustainable growth over the next few years," sez president and founder, Josh Landon. Last yr Saint Archer produced 4151 bbls according to BA. Gotta note, both Saint Archer and Wicked Weed are less than 2 yrs old and already taking on sizable expansions.
Last yr Fremont was already 11th largest craft co in Seattle foodstores tracked by IRI, ahead of Lagunitas and Stone, and just behind Gambrinus, gaining half a share of total beer there. Co more than doubled sales in IRI Multi-channel + C-Store (MULC) nationwide in 2013. As recently as Apr 2014, that growth rate "slowed" to +49% in IRI MULC. Last yr, Fremont nearly doubled production to 13K bbls according to Brewers Assn, and will likely reach regional brewery status in 2014.
Appalachian Mtn "Next Step" to Goin' Public; Next Step in Non-Beer Too: Cider Division by Yr End
In addition, co expects to launch Hard Mountain Cider division by year's end, using 4,000 sq-ft intentionally set aside during May expansion, paper noted. This is next step in becoming an all-around "craft beverage company" as founder Sean Spiegleman called it back in Jan when he announced plans to eventually add "hard ciders, liquors, sodas and restaurants" to their repertoire (see vol 5, no 2.). Still mum about federal license to distribute liquor, acquired from NCSE purchase, tho that may come into play later on. Appalachian Mtn currently trading at $3.75 per share.

